From Speculation to Utility: What's Next for On-Chain Lending Markets?

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On-chain lending protocols serve as the cornerstone of internet-based finance, aiming to provide fair access to capital for individuals and businesses worldwide—regardless of location. This model fosters a more equitable and efficient capital market, driving economic growth.

Despite its potential, current users remain predominantly crypto-native, with loans often limited to speculative trading. This significantly restricts the Total Addressable Market (TAM).

This article explores strategies to expand user adoption, transition toward productive lending scenarios, and address accompanying challenges.


Current State of On-Chain Lending

In just a few years, on-chain lending has evolved from conceptual frameworks to battle-tested protocols, surviving volatile markets without generating bad debt. To date, these protocols have attracted $437B in deposits** and issued **$18.6B in outstanding loans.

Source: DefiLlama, Artemis

Primary Use Cases Today

Compared to the global debt market ($320T**), on-chain lending’s **$18.6B is negligible. Transitioning toward productive uses (e.g., SME financing, mortgages) could unlock exponential TAM growth.


Future Opportunities

1. Expanding Collateral Types

Currently, only high-volatility crypto assets are accepted, requiring 200%+ collateral ratios. Tokenizing traditional assets (e.g., stocks, bonds, real estate) could:

Implementation Phases:

👉 Explore tokenization trends

2. Enabling Under-Collateralized Loans

Most protocols demand over-collateralization, stifling capital efficiency. Early solutions (e.g., Goldfinch, Maple) relied on off-chain credit checks. Emerging projects like Wildcat Finance reintroduce under-collateralization via lender-managed risk assessment.

Key Markets Beyond Crypto:


Challenges & Solutions

1. Illiquid Collateral Management

Non-24/7 assets (e.g., real estate) complicate debt tracking. Solutions:

2. Physical Asset Liquidation

代币ized property requires legal enforcement. Potential fix:

3. Risk Pricing

Tools for default风险评估:

4. Decentralized Credit Models

Privacy-preserving ML could train公平 risk models without data silos.


FAQs

Q: Can on-chain lending replace traditional banks?
A: Not immediately—it complements them by serving underserved markets (e.g., unbanked SMEs).

Q: How secure are under-collateralized loans?
A: Risks exist, but lender-managed assessments (e.g., Wildcat) mitigate defaults.

Q: When will real estate tokenization scale?
A: Regulatory clarity is the primary bottleneck; expect gradual adoption post-2025.


Conclusion

The next era of on-chain lending will bridge crypto and real-world finance, compressing inefficiencies in global capital allocation. As Theia Research notes: "The goal is a system where net interest margins converge to the cost of capital."

🚀 The future of finance is being built—one block at a time.

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