"Buy the Dip"—Okay, you bought the dip like a savvy investor. Now what? If you're stuck watching the market dive deeper while clutching your crypto bags, the burning question is:
"When will the crypto bull run start?"
We’ve scoured expert analyses, decoded market trends, and distilled the key signals to answer this billion-dollar question. Buckle up—this deep dive might reshape your strategy for the next bull cycle.
Why Is the Crypto Market Down Today?
The crypto market has bled red for months, with total capitalization plummeting from $2.51 trillion in May 2024 to ~$2 trillion by July 2024. Here’s what’s driving the downturn:
1. German Government’s Bitcoin Sell-Off
- **$382M in BTC dumped** by June 2024, with ongoing sales (e.g., $52M on July 2).
- These seizures-turned-sales from criminal cases created massive sell pressure, dragging BTC below $60K and spooking altcoins.
2. Bitcoin ETF Outflows
- Spot ETFs saw $14M net outflows on July 2, 2024, amid a strengthening U.S. dollar (DXY index rise).
- While cumulative inflows exceed $14B, slowing demand hints at short-term risk aversion.
3. Mt. Gox’s $9B Repayment Drama
- 127,000 creditors await BTC reimbursements after a decade.
- Early July whale movements ($810M sold in 3 minutes) suggest repayments may have begun, intensifying market anxiety.
4. Bitcoin Miners’ Survival Mode
- Post-halving rewards dropped 50%, forcing miners to sell $200M+ BTC in June.
- Holdings hit 14-year lows, exacerbating price drops.
📌 Key Takeaway: When Bitcoin stumbles, the entire market tumbles. But history shows crashes often precede rallies.
When Will the Crypto Bull Run Start?
Bullish Catalysts Aligning:
- ✅ Bitcoin halving (April 20, 2024)
- ✅ Spot Bitcoin ETFs ($14B+ inflows)
- ✅ Ethereum spot ETFs (partial SEC approval)
- ✅ Upcoming upgrades (Ethereum’s Pectra, Solana ETF filings)
- ✅ Potential Fed rate cuts
Historical Halving Cycles:
- 2012: Bull run began 48 days post-halving.
- 2016: 259 days later.
- 2020: 149 days later.
- 2024 Projection: Mid-September (avg. 152 days)—but delays likely due to sell-offs.
Analyst Predictions:
- 22Shares: "This cycle is different"—mature market, ETF demand, and institutional adoption could extend timelines.
- Miles Deutscher (Crypto Analyst): Peak shifted to Q1/Q2 2025.
- QCP Capital: Consolidation until late 2024, with volatility spikes around the U.S. election (November 5).
👉 Our Forecast: The bull run will likely ignite between December 2024 and January 2025, fueled by:
- ETF-driven supply squeeze.
- Election-driven policy shifts (pro-crypto Trump vs. cautious Biden).
- Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade (Q4 2024/Q1 2025).
⚠️ Disclaimer: Crypto remains volatile. Treat predictions as informed estimates, not guarantees.
FAQs
❓ Will the bull run start in 2024 or 2025?
Most signs point to late 2024, but delays could push it to early 2025.
❓ What are the best cryptos for the next bull run?
Top contenders: BTC, ETH, SOL, LINK, PEPE, RNDR.
❓ Is the bull run inevitable?
History says yes—cycles repeat, but timing and magnitude vary.
Final Thoughts
While short-term pain dominates, the ingredients for a historic rally are brewing. Use this time to research, diversify, and position strategically.
👉 Stay ahead with real-time crypto insights
👉 Master market cycles like a pro
Patience pays—the bulls will return.
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