Why Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum May Be Fading
Bitcoin has declined 4.77% this week, with concerning signals emerging as the monthly and weekly candles prepare to close. While long-term fundamentals remain robust, short-term indicators suggest:
- Bearish divergences on daily/weekly charts
- Thinning trading volume near key resistance
- Declining RSI strength despite high prices
Analyst Warnings: Potential Local Top Formation
Prominent traders identify striking similarities to September 2021's market structure before November's crash. Key observations:
- OrderAndFlow's Analysis
👉 Daily chart shows weakening momentum despite elevated prices, mirroring pre-crash patterns. "May's monthly close could make or break the bullish structure," they caution. - Willy Woo's On-Chain Data
Weekly charts reveal subtle but critical negative divergence, with BTC struggling below the psychological $100,000 resistance zone.
The Supercycle Paradox: Short-Term Pain vs Long-Term Gain
Bullish Macro Factors for 2025
| Indicator | Significance |
|---|---|
| Institutional Adoption | Trump Media's $2.32B BTC treasury move |
| Historical Cycles | Aligning with 2025 price projections |
| Halving Effects | Supply squeeze accelerating |
Price Prediction Consensus: $200K–$250K by late 2025
Critical June Outlook: Make-or-Break Levels
Immediate Support/Resistance
Support Zones
- $102,000 (urgent)
- $96,000–$98,000 (last defense)
Resistance Walls
- $106,500 (first hurdle)
- $110,000 (breakout trigger)
👉 How institutions are positioning ahead of the June open will determine whether this is a healthy pullback or start of deeper correction.
FAQs: Your Bitcoin Market Questions Answered
Q: Should I sell BTC before May's monthly close?
A: Not necessarily—long-term holders may use dips to accumulate, but traders should set stop-losses below $102K.
Q: What confirms a true market reversal?
A: A weekly close below $96K with high volume would indicate trend change.
Q: Are institutions still bullish for 2025?
A: Yes—corporate treasury acquisitions and ETF flows suggest strong conviction beyond short-term volatility.
Q: How does this compare to 2021's crash signals?
A: Similar technical warnings appeared, but current institutional backing may cushion falls.
Final Verdict: Caution Without Panic
While June could bring heightened volatility, the 2025 supercycle thesis remains intact. Strategic investors should:
- Monitor the $102K support hourly
- Prepare liquidity for potential dips
- 👉 Review portfolio allocations ahead of macroeconomic shifts
Remember: Bitcoin's 4-year cycles historically reward patience—but tactical position-sizing matters.
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